• normanfenton (57)in #bayes • 2 years ago

  Bayes, Likelihood ratio and DNA evidence

  This 28 min lecture (which I gave at the 2021 US National Forensic College meeting in New York) provides an introductory overview of Bayes and likelihood ratios and looks at its use in DNA evidence

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   4 0
• normanfenton (57)in #censorship • 2 years ago

  Routine censorship of dissenting voices

  Given the current scale of censorship against anybody who challenges the 'accepted narrative' (epecially on Covid), the following updates aren't especially significant; but as…

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   21 1
• normanfenton (57)in #covid • 2 years ago

  Computing years of lost life: why actuaries really need to be able to do counterfactual reasoning

  Hugh Osmond recently put out this interesting twitter thread: Although the average age of death in the UK is around 82, if a person reaches 82 then on average (i.e. without…

  $7.79

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   49 1
• normanfenton (57)in #covid • 2 years ago

  Evaluation of vaccine efficacy and safety must take account of early treatments

  We've been focusing on all-cause mortality as the key indicator of vaccine safety and effectiveness: if, for a particular age group over a reasonable period of time, the…

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   67 7
• normanfenton (57)in COVID-19 • 2 years ago

  Concerns about claims of Covid-19 vaccination effectiveness and safety

  Our research team have now analysed the ONS England November 2021 mortality data. We conclude that, despite seeming evidence to support vaccine effectiveness, this conclusion is…

  $122.84

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   169 7
• normanfenton (57)in #covid-19 • 2 years ago

  The European Union's highly misleading chart and message about vaccine effectiveness

  EU presents highly misleading chart of vaccine effectiveness

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• normanfenton (57)in #introduction • 2 years ago

  Introduce Myself - My first post on Hive

  Introduction to Norman Fenton

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