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I don't think this is how it will go.

You think we'll be in an eight month bear market ?

I think in 7 to 10 days it will pick up again.

I sure hopes so... sounds likely too, but that's exactly what I was thinking 7 or 10 days ago.

Starting the 21st people will get there fiat money and invest again in the 1 coin they know the best: bitcoin.

Okay, but why on the 21st, I see the 15th and the 31st as more likely ?

We get paid on the 21st in Europe.
People needed the fiat for presents and sales. Nobody has fiat now.
A lot of people made an account in order to buy cripto.