Why Hive is the best place to be in a bear market

in LeoFinance2 years ago (edited)

It's much easier to be HODLing if you spend more time BUIDLing new revenue streams and side earnings than you do look at charts.

My attempted words of wisdom for the day

So here we are, it looked for a while as if Bitcoin was holding up pretty well around $42,000, but that price now almost seems like a distant memory. Having plunged quickly down another 10k, we now find ourselves questioning whether or not we will soon see Bitcoin down in the 20s again too.

The bad news is, of course, that it now does look like we’re in a bear market and that the dollar value of our portfolios is likely just a fraction of what it was in November. The good news, however, is that you’re reading this article on Hive and are thus in the best place you can be for a bear market.

The Bear is for BUIDLing

Anyone who has been in the crypto market for a long period of time knows that bull and bear markets come and go. With them comes both euphoric insane price rallies and new ATHs, as well as fear and depression installing falls and periods of decline. The trick, in most people’s opinion, is to simply get used to it, accumulate the assets you like and believe in, and then HODL while riding the waves. Admittedly though, this is not always easy to do in practice, as our emotions are powerful drivers of actions, actions which unfortunately tend to be poor when under the influence of fear. So what can we do to make it easier and less painful to HODL? Well, to BUIDL!

Seeing my Twitter feed filled with FUD and despair due to the falling crypto prices, I felt like sharing my own advice.


It should be obvious that looking at the big bad red candles and double-digit negative numbers on coinmarketcap or in a portfolio tracker is not a source for mental happiness and well-being. Nor is frequent exposure to those emotions going to help you HODL. So naturally, moving your attention over to something else is a good start. And what else could be better than to focus on building new revenue streams and side hustle income that can then allow you to buy more while prices are low? From purely a financial perspective, that is the optimal thing to do. You can’t control the overall market and thus prices of the coins anyway, but you can control your own effort to earn more and thus make yourself better able to take advantage of the many opportunities that come with lower prices.

You could say that Hive provides the perfect safe space for crypto-copers during scary bear markets.

Some perspective

It’s also worth mentioning that at this time last year, the price of HIVE was just 0.14$. This means that if you hold the same amount of HIVE today as you did then, you would still be up more than 450%. And that’s before accounting for how your HIVE holding may have allowed you to earn more tokens through different means during that year.

Hive price past year.png

The price of HIVE as seen on coingecko the past year. As we can see, the price we are at today is still quite high compared to where we have been.


So while it’s tempting to fantasize about the profits one could have taken at $3, that’s nothing but a hypothetical as realistically it’s very unlikely that one would have succeeded in timing the top. Additionally, it is only a source of frustration to compare one’s current set of actions with a hypothetical best scenario, of which there are too many to count in crypto with its high volatility. Instead, it makes more sense to compare one’s decision(s) with what one would have in the absence of those decisions. In the case of most users on Hive, the answer then is simple: We’ve done a lot better for ourselves than the vast majority of people out there who put just as much time into different social media and video games without any financial benefits to show for it.

Stay persistent!

I can understand that for many, seeing the displayed value of their post rewards go down compared to what some may have gotten used to these past two months may dent their motivation to stay active. However, I would argue that the obtained value from engagement on Hive is unlikely to change much and that the only difference is that you’re not guaranteed the same result. What I mean by that is that your earned Hive tokens, assuming you were always buying HIVE with your post rewards and Powering up, are just as much now as before. In fact, it may be more valuable now, as lower prices tend to result in fewer people posting less often thus making rewards from the reward pool available to you greater.

Assuming that you have no plans to currently sell your HIVE rewards, and assuming that it will at some point in the future be worth $3 or more again, then it doesn’t matter if you earn them when prices are low versus high. The only difference a high price makes is that it provides the guarantee of being able to sell at that higher price. But as long as we believe that such a higher price will eventually come, then for now it matters not. We have already seen this before, as I pointed out in late March with my post Being persistent and consistent pays off - A good reminder set by all the Hive hustlers after HIVE had reached $1 for the first time after months of idling sub $0.2. The point there was the same, that those who never stopped posting, engaging and hustling whilst powering up during the year before was in practice always paid for their effort as if the price of HIVE was worth $1.

Conclusion

The conclusion is simple, a lower HIVE price and resulting displayed post pay-out may look and feel discouraging, but it should not be. Not only is it unlikely to matter in the long run, being on Hive and putting in the effort to accumulate and grow more tokens while contributing to growing the ecosystem here is likely the best thing we can do during a bear market. After all, the best way to HODL is to spend less time looking at charts and prices, and more time BUIDLing new value. If you then combine that with steadily buying in also when prices are low, then that’s the best strategy to grow wealth over time.

At least that's what I will do.

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100% right ! You nailed it.

Also, lower Hive means many bloggers will leave / post less. You will get a bigger HIVE allocation of the pool.

When prices will reach high levels, you will sit on a lot of HIVE tokens

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Also, lower Hive means many bloggers will leave / post less. You will get a bigger HIVE allocation of the pool.

Indeed. That's why I wrote:
"In fact, it may be more valuable now, as lower prices tend to result in fewer people posting less often thus making rewards from the reward pool available to you greater." 😉

But my goal here is to prevent that from happening, as I think keeping more users active gives us a better foundation to grow again once things turn around.

After quite some ups and downs over the past years, I stopped caring less and less about these dips. Only hard thing is to keep from buying more assets too early while things are going down.

I feel that the fear I see here is mostly caused by all the posts about this fear. Its good that you put things in a more positive note :-)

I too have gotten more used to it and just laugh. But the people I know who only started buying in late last year looks like they're sweating a bit...

I think what we're seeing is the effect of more institutional money and speculators who don't care about the foundation or change aspect,only the opportunity to make money off volatilit. They will keep on pumping the prices higher when there's a Bull market, creating the high spikes up and down that we see, while a growing number of people coming into crypto and seeing its value sustain the more steadily growing foundation seen by the bottoms of each cycle still coming down at a higher level than the bottoms of cycles before it.

Thanks, some wide words, i am sure it will resonate with a lot of people, I wonder where we will be next year in Feb! The game of patience is all about the timing as you mentioned, I powered down some HP thinking I would perfectly time a price hike, but it did the exact opposite haha. Oh well...

Hope so! It's still a way to build a financial foundation to many people. And that opportunity is just as present now as before.

I'm always accumulating $HIVE just by being social, so I'll just wait for it to go up again. Luckily I don't need to sell any. Some people post less when it's low, but I am not considering the current price. I can't be sure where it will go, but I have a good feeling about it :)

I like your feeling! 😁

I'm not sure about being in a bear market just yet when compared to 2018 which was rekt city. If we're still in the doldrums in the beginning of Q2 and 80% down from ATH (BTC) then I'd say that's the bear. The recent drop is Degen traders getting liquidated so we will see if it recovers from this shockwave! However, a great time to pick up some sats on the cheap or just HODL 😁

I think with increased market cap, the percentage difference between a ATH and new bottom will be lower and lower. So I don't think we will see BTC at 80% down necessarily.

We shall see, it's still early days from this latest round of liquidation shockwave. People will still leverage and I think there's possibly another draw down coming. Not sure why, just a "feeling" we'll see prices touch the prices we saw last year in May/June. If that doesn't hold, who knows?!

Great, I will do the same! Great perspective man!

Ofc, it's my perspective.

I'm hoping many people will sell their position in pools so i get a bigger slice.
:-D

I thing the most important thing is
that Hive has a real value behind the coin, u know?

So the community give them a reason to be a real currency
and the hbd has been very stable over the last few mounths. 🤠

Hodl baby hodl.
I am in pursuit of earning as much Hive as I can and hodl it before it gets expensive. You know what I mean :)

good advice, my friend, to spend less time on graphics and more on improving our publications, and with that, when the market returns to normality, we will see that all our efforts to improve have paid off and we will celebrate it as a triumph of perseverance.

crap, it's the bear market already ?

Stay busy and don't worry about price as you will get ahead just by doing what we all do. Biggest growth period for myself was sub 20c.

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Hermoso que hayas decidido poner un paño frio, personalmente yo se que con el tiempo todo vuelve a subir pero nunca esta de mas recordarlo. Sinceramente, gracias

Quite on top of it! Good reminder to all of us where we were last year! Let the snowball roll

So many coins id be buying right now if my pocket wasnt empty, such a great buying opportunity for people who have some money aside for these situations

The problem with this Market is that I don't think anyone was able to determine the correct top. I doubt if many people pulled out at the top so that they would have money to put in at the bottom. That is always the best plan, but now… I wouldn't advise pulling out because you never know what's going to happen. Imagine pulling out tomorrow only to have things shoot back up. I think this bear Market is going to be different than some of the ones we've had in the past. It's so hard to calculate.

Still, I think all things associated with Hive are a good place to be. I'm seeing other things drop rapidly though.

Yes, exactly! I have been pushing this idea of thought in a lot of my posts. Many of them from even years ago. These times are extremely beneficial to the dedicated builder who is set on not being distracted by emotional sentiment.

As stated in an earlier post, "Money is made in bear markets and realized in bull markets."

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I totally agree, and this is why I am putting even more effort right now to grow personally and to help the community do the same. We will rise even stronger than before 💪.

I totally agree! There is so much on Hive for building. Participating on the internet, whether through games, commenting, blogging, etc, is something we all do on and off chain. Hive is amazing because it rewards us for doing what we'd be doing anyway!

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HIVE having built-in methods for being valuable and useful (not just in the social way, which it is by default) when price is not only just high, but also relatively low, is what keeps me big on it. Good write up!


The rewards earned on this comment will go directly to the person sharing the post on Twitter as long as they are registered with @poshtoken. Sign up at https://hiveposh.com.

Hive has made several improvements this time around that make it even more attractive as a hodl during the bear season.

The linear curation change makes a big difference, as well as HBD incentive, and also a strong set of community tokens some of which are starting to mature.

Regardless of price the blockchain works the same, it's just engaged users have an advantage in the bear season due to less activity.

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No Crypto is Best now because almost all the crypto are affected because of this bear market. While we are not feeling it much in Hive because of the token we are getting in leo finance . I believe crypto will bounce back later.

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Bear market is never the time to complain about price, it is the time to build and never to get distracted

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I couldn't agree more.

To many of us here in the community get caught up in day to day price movements that will ultimately be nothing more than noise if Hive reaches the potential we obviously believe it can.

A high of $3 for the only truly decentralised network housing a suite of Web3 social dApps?

Lol, come on.

Ignore these little price whips and stack stack stack!

Future you will no doubt say thanks.


In your last post where you were discussing HBD in savings, we were talking in the comments about when the right time to move back into HIVE may be.

You initially said 50c was your number, but now we're well under $1, I'm interested to hear whether you've held strong or revised this target?

I've now moved my liquid HBD earned from author rewards back into HIVE at 80c...

Let's see if I'm too early haha!

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Good points you raised in this blog post, @fredrikaa. I was thinking of the same thing so I thought about spending more time on curation and writing blog post.

!PIZZA

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Now is the time to BUIDL Hive and Leo tokens! then the return and your income generation increases!

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You are Just so correct with this and I totally agree with you.
Thanks for this lovely reminder.