Timing The Top Of The Crypto Market

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Ways to time the top

• Different ta/fa/sentiment analysis ppl are using
• Google searches
• Number of days after halving (halving to peak analysis)
• Pi cycle
• 2 year moving average
• Bitcoin Rainbow bands
• Unrealised profit and loss vs actual Bitcoin price
• Puell multiple
• MVRV Z-Score
• RHODL Ratio
• Reserve Risk
• Woobull’s indicators (on-chain data)
• Hyperinflation fears
• Stablecoin regulation fears
• Maybe mention our model
• Weiss timing model (pure price data)
• Talk about how difficult it is to time it
• Usual mistakes people make like buying in denial phase or in bear trap
• Aka dead cat bounce or relief rally
• Talk about the most mentioned targets for BTC and ETH
• Plan B’s stock to flow model for Bitcoin
• Has us at $107k
• Cross-asset model has us at $255k
• WCP has a price target for ETH of at least $10k
• Since the top cannot be time exactly (analysis), what about an exit plan (strategy)?
• Scaling out i.e. selling into strength and lading out
• Can be done subjectively as data comes in
• Can be done objectively by placing limit orders at various price levels then walking away

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