I saw an interesting post from a Hive user who appears to have done a lot of research on how the market will play out.
I believe he accomplishes this by primarily examining market sentiment, analysis, and permutations from various reputable crypto OGs across the internet and then comparing and contrasting.
I enjoy reading this person's posts because they are not simply bullish or bearish; some of their stance is based on extensive research and a systematic approach.
So, based on what I have learned about this person, they have done their research and made the necessary moves, and they appear to be waiting for the market to do its part.
So, while they are waiting, they are carefully conducting their research, putting their ears to the ground and listening and watching to see how current trends and sentiment will affect how this cycle may resemble or repeat the pattern we have in this cycle, which is a lot of hard work, but when you have invested money, effort, and time, adding hard work is a no-brainer.
When Will The 4-Market Cycle End?
Since 2013, there has been a resemblance in market patterns, and one of the best ways to capitalize is to understand how these patterns occur and take advantage of them.
However, these patterns will change over time. Almost everyone in crypto knows nothing but a four-year pattern, and given the recent undeniable events, the sentiment is that the four-year cycle will break soon, which I do not doubt.
I believe that the four-year cycle in cryptocurrency will not continue indefinitely, but do I believe that this is the cycle in which that pattern will break? I do not believe so.
The involvement of ETFs and constitutional money in cryptocurrency will not disrupt this pattern just yet, nor did black swan events like COVID. Whales like Micheal Saylor, or one billion somewhere who believes crypto is going nowhere.
When are we going to wise-up?
Probably not now
Almost every event has aligned in this cycle, and I believe the reason we are still in this cycle is people's inability to hold their acts together properly.
If everyone suddenly becomes wise, I believe crypto will lose its "wow" factor; however, because we cannot all become wise and predict the top or bottom at the same time, crypto may continue to follow the four-year cycle for the time being.
When it comes to crypto, people know exactly what they need to do, the only problem is that we literally refuse to do it, and for different reasons. Most people do not want to be caught up in their own decisions.
We need others to validate our decisions before we can believe we are doing the right thing. Some people are presented with wonderful opportunities, but they choose not to take them. It is understandable that it is difficult to make "money decisions" or invest effort, time, research, and other non-monetary values.
Many people want to use crypto as a one-time thing: to fund their dreams, to fund their immediate desires and goals and after that, they're done, the tech can go to hell, whatever they need to subsequently learn can go to hell afterall, it doesn't guarantee stability.
Instability can fund stability
Aside from the technology that crypto can potentially provide, there is a lot of beauty that can emerge from the chaos. In ten years, people will create real-time industries and businesses based on crypto gains.
Then there will be many who were unaware that they had started from nothing. The instability of crypto is actually the beautiful thing about it. The lack of knowledge about it is how we can end up wrecked.
Knowledge
Apart from being biblically correct, people perishes because of lack of knowledge. We have all died because we lacked the necessary information to save ourselves at some point.
It is figurative death rather than literal one, which is why many will continue to die in this cycle: the death of a lack of knowledge about how things work.
Of course, they may benefit in the short term, but why have a piece of the pie when you can have the entire pie by adding something extra?
It sounds simple, on second thought, it is difficult, but on third thought, it is actually simple; it is just that we prefer to learn the hard way, complicating what could have been simple. Of course, do not take my word for it. (This is a reflection, not financial advice.)
I am actually missing the right knowledge and am looking for it. However, I am just hoping I am on time this time around.
Interested in some more of my works
Is it Easy To Make Money?
Nigeria: A Unique Business Market & Industry
Virtual Bank Apps In Nigeria: An Experience Of Gamification
How To Find The Next "BIG" Meme Coin
Personal Finance: Achieving Intentional "Saving" Goals
Playing The Survival Game: Human Nature In Introspection
"Un-PAYING" The Debt You Owe
Interested in some more of my works
Is it Easy To Make Money?
Nigeria: A Unique Business Market & Industry
Virtual Bank Apps In Nigeria: An Experience Of Gamification
How To Find The Next "BIG" Meme Coin
Personal Finance: Achieving Intentional "Saving" Goals
Playing The Survival Game: Human Nature In Introspection
"Un-PAYING" The Debt You Owe
Posted Using InLeo Alpha
I guess I haven't seen that post. A clear, non-emotional view of a situation, based on information gathered from sources sometimes with different viewpoints, can be very helpful. Can you share who that person is on Hive? Sounds like someone who deserves a follow, for sure.
Actually the user is resiliencia. I've been following his posts for a very long time and that's basically my deductions or him plus the conversations I have with him.
I read his posts too. And yep, sometimes he offers very insightful information in his short posts.
Just enjoy riding the waves of crypto, I think because of the BTC halving, this cycle can't end - supply cut in half even with same demand means rising price, maybe the cycle can weaken at some point but there will always remain people that call for bitcoins death in the bear market following and selling at the bottom 😅
Yes I believe parameters like the halving is why we might not have "the end of the cycle" so again, we're on course for another cycle. Whenever we're in the bear, there will always be "death of crypto" Modern day FUD lol hahaha
Keeping an eye and ear open is the best one can do, many use charts or stats that started years ago nothing is ever spot on, leave it to what the individual feels is right for them.
@tipu curate
Upvoted 👌 (Mana: 65/75) Liquid rewards.
I agree that nothing is ever spot on. The idea is that there's a pattern and the pattern tends to resemble themselves in how they play out. It's going to be an interesting cycle going forward.
Thanks for the curation
After year end I think the first quarter may be the time to watch, you are right the cycles most definitely show a pattern to be alert. Have a wonderful weekend.
You're right. I will keep looking at what might happen in Q1. Have a great weekend too and thanks for all the support..
While I hope the market to perform based on the historical data, I am still preparing myself for the unexpected. This way I will be able to adapt one way or the other.
Yeah, I like how you've prepared yourself. There's always the need to want to be cautious with something like crypto. However I believed we're primed and this cycle is not the cycle where the four year patterns will be broken.
well, i think the 4y cycle pattern will change because of new modifiers entering the game, crypto n political sphere, legalization & adoption by govs & giant corporations, businesses & of course the public, the next big modifier would b btc usage as a strategic reserve that would limit the tradable amount of btc to a low percent causing it's price to skyrocket to new levels, the other next big thing is negative for old cryptos- it's "the quantum computers" research & development is going on we don't know wen exactly they will b available but i think 10 or 15y is somewhat possible- once they r available people's passwords & blockchains encryption will b broken leading to loss of funds on wallets, at the end i think 2025 will b good for crypto. interesting post- have a good day
Thanks for your great analysis. Of course, it's always obvious that there will be a coming to an end of the four year cycle. I think tech like you've mentioned is one of the reasons why. I highlighted that it wouldn't be this cycle that it'll happen and we're still primed.
It's tough because most of us want the same cycle to happen. We just don't know when things will break down. That is why I don't blame anyone for taking profits. Locking in those gains might just save you down the line. I agree that having different views help you think about the various things that could happen. It makes you better prepared.
There are currently not profits in 80% of alts and anyone taking profit is either doing it with memes or BTC. So I still believe the larger populations are still waiting on alts.
it will still be interesting. But personally, I don't really understand him. Just what I noticed
I don't understand who you say you don't understand. Do you mean understand crypto?
I'm not an expert. Just an amateur.
It's understandable, well you'll get to learn with time