Part 7/13:

The internal conflict is a three-way tug of war: Xi’s faction, the reformists, and the military bloc. Each side seeks to shape China’s future leadership, with the military essentially the ultimate decider due to its control of force. The ongoing infighting is fueled by contrasting visions—Xi’s consolidation of power versus reformists' push for rule of law and institutional change, and the military’s desire to maintain influence.

The Stage of the Power Struggle: Who Will Prevail?

The first days of the plenum have been unremarkable, mostly review and routine statements. The real intrigue lies in the upcoming personnel reshuffle. The crucial question is whether Xi will retain control of the Central Military Commission (CMC), the key to his influence over the armed forces.