The $6 RUNE moon soon vibes are returning.

in LeoFinance9 months ago

I've noticed a fair bit lately on X (Twitter) that the sentiment around RUNE seems to be improving. The token has popped up lately, with a gain of almost 50% over the last week. Granted, there is still a long way to go till ATH, but it is interesting to take a look at what is behind this jump, and see if it is the start of a new trend, or a temporary blip that will fade back out.

One of my biggest regrets in crypto is that I sold out of RUNE. Was in the project very early, and built a position. However, fell in to the trap of looking for the next shiny object to play with, and then had to sell out of most of my assets to fiat. Regardless, there is still a soft spot for the project, and I am currently looking for a way to get back in to it.


Source: Coingecko

Why is RUNE doing well lately?

I think the current run can be put down to two new developments. One is the recent implementation of "streaming swaps". The other is the very soon to be launched addition of a lending protocol.

Lets take a closer look at each of these.

Streaming Swaps:

In a nutshell, streaming swaps break up a larger swap through the liquidity pools on Thorchain into a series of smaller swaps over a set time period. One of the big downsides for Thorchain has been that swaps of any decent size have been expensive. Thorchain's pools use a "slippage" based fee, so small trades are quite cheap, but as the trade size increases, so does the fee. For these trades, using a CEX has been a much cheaper option, and this has limited Thorchain's volumes. Streaming swaps fixes this.

A big swap can be programed to occur over a time period, so it gets broken down into a series of much smaller swaps, happening each block (roughly every 6 seconds). This means that arbitragers can rebalance the pool, and the trade can go through over time with minimal slippage. This article by Nine Realms explains the process and benefits very well.

The impact should be beneficial for the Thorchain platform. To quote from the above linked article:

Presently, fees have surpassed block rewards, a testament to THORChain’s recent surge in activity. Streaming swaps might lead to an initial drop in protocol revenue due to liquidity fees being tied to slip. However, it’s anticipated that revenue will bounce back with greater volume in the long run. The introduction of streaming swaps is a strategic move to attract a larger demographic of users who typically trade over $100k. Securing this segment of the market is crucial for THORChain to become the leading swap route, surpassing CEX in terms of speed (a single on-chain tx), KYC procedures (none), and now, price execution.

Native swaps, between layer 1's, with fee's as good or better than CEX's, along with no KYC requirements definitely sound bullish for RUNE, and the successful launch of this innovations could go a long way to explain the recent price action for RUNE (along with the related token THOR). Thor has benefited even more in the last week, with it jumping over 300% in the week. The Thorswap platform (a front end and access point for Thorchain)

Thorswap has experiences a significant jump in trading volumes since streaming swaps went live. Over 100% increase in the last week.


Source: DefiLlama

The positive momentum has flowed through to an increase in the TVL on Thorchain, with a 25% increase over the last week according to DeFiLlama.

So, it is clear that the launch of streaming swaps has marked a turnaround in fortunes for the Thorchain protocol and eco-system. Now let's look at what the next driver may be...

Lending.

The impending launch of Lending on Thorchain is another game changing feature being roled out. As with everything Thorchain do, they are doing it differently than what is currently out in the marketplace. @gungunkrishu wrote a post not long ago on this topic and it is definitely worth a read.

The mechanism used looks complex behind the scenes, and the Thorchain docs give an overview of how it all works. I think those two linked articles will explain how Lending will work better than I can, so I'll just give you a TLDR...

  • Loans will have 0% interest.
  • Loans will have no risk of liquidation.
  • Loans will have no expiration.

Will be interesting to see it work in practice. I look forward to @khaleelkazi being all over this one as it sounds perfect for him. Deposit BTC, borrow USD (equivalents) when needed, rinse and repeat. Permanently long BTC and short USD.


It is great to see the positive vibes returning to Thorchain. I've started to see the Rune Ranger on Twitter bring back his $6 $RUNE moon soon tweets, and plenty of other bullish vibes.

Cheering for RUNE, and looking for a way to get back in to it.

Thanks for reading,

JK.

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I have been accumulating since before ATH... and all the way down and back up. The speculation game is ending (of course, there will always be speculation)... but THORChain is quickly turning into a legitimate DeFi powerhouse. Swap volumes up, swap size up, beating CEX's in cost efficiency... It just needs to attract more TVL (which should be easy as swap volume is climbing rapidly making LP'ing more attractive). The ball is starting to roll and I don't think it will stop... That is not to say there won't be down turns... there will. But, from here... the trend is up and faster than the rest of the market.

50% increase in only one week is really very bullish.

Each week my #tib posts highlights the best moving stocks and crypto in my portfolios. I am mostly on top of why stocks move - good to see some analysis on the crypto moves - keep it up

Easy to find my investing posts - the tag is #tib - the next one has RUNE charts and a link to this post

I was never able to try that thorchain... very complicated but I deposited Rune and left in the wallet...need to check.

I lost touch when THorchain was hacked 2ce...they took a break and then they came, but I was too busy with other projects.

I am not sure that 0% loan, is good, how on earth will they earn revenues, swap fees?... you can't borrow for free and go speculate... borrowers have to pay, else how to pay the lenders...

The app needs a solid revenue scheme...don't see that free loan thing doing good for the protocol.

I wish I sold my RUne and put it elsewhere... maybe secret and shade.

Although I agree that it was special that time swapping between assets like BTC and ETH... they should be having competition now...

That dex was for geeks, it was not user friendly...that's what I felt... hope my runes still there though... why are the fees costly if this is built on Cosmos, or is it built on ETH...

I really again need to see how they do those cross chain swaps...witneesses when I read, monitor and did it... must have changed it, that time swaps it was mentioned happened fast coz they exchanged it with like ETH to rune then rune to btc...

anyway... since I am not practically involved in the project would like to exist my holdings and explore other things like JAckal... looking forward to see how their thing of decentralised secret dapp to replace google drive and suite works...privacy storage. Anyway...

The loan is settled the moment you take it out. So the protocol has been paid and holds your collateral (they have been paid way more than what they are loaning out). It just makes it much nicer of a deal since there is no liquidations or interest.

You mean money is invested a lot on them so they can afford to offer interest free loans without liquidation. good to hear its sweet and they are covered

If you give me 2 dollars as collateral... and I give you a loan of a dollar and hold the other dollar... when you come to collect and give me the dollar back... I will have the 2 dollars to pay you back.

Thats sweet!!! thanks for putting it this way I so I see it this way!!

That is not how it works.

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This is a crowd favorite around here, so I think many people in the community are probably happy, especially Khal, as he has a large position in Rune.
Welcome back and different Avatar I see no more monkey or whatever that was.

Sorry I am mistaken about the avatar.