Your analysis seems about right and many people especially the newbies tend to get some money to grow but due to poor technical and analytical skills required for investment just turns to gamble for the newbie.
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I wounder how much currency I will lose before I am able to securely transfer my steem to fiat. I'm guessing its a newbie mistake to use Poloniex? Or are they just having a lag currently? I successfully used Poloniex last year. But wanting to use an account I was familiar with I used it today and then have been left waiting hours later for my deposit to arrive. I wish I had just used the block chain attached directly to the wallet here on steemit. But I hadn't seen it before and wasn't sure how to use it. Have you used it ?
Please vote
@rogueagent i completely agree with you as on paper and in words everything sounds perfect but what is it like when it gets played out on market?....if the devs get there at all.
Please read my blog on a wallet that gives free bitcoins and other cryptocurrencies daily!:https://steemit.com/introduceyourself/@zen-analyst/qoinpro-free-bitcoins-and-15-other-cryptocurrencies-update
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CryptoZen