Bitcoin at Crossroads: Support Test or Breakdown?

in #ssglife2 months ago

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📉 Technical Analysis – BTC/USDT (4H Chart)

1. Current Price & Trend

  • Current price: $105,583.44
  • Price is showing signs of cooling off after a strong recovery from the recent low of $100,372.26.
  • A short-term uptrend remains intact, but momentum is fading.

2. Key Support & Resistance Levels

  • Immediate Resistance:

    • $106,794.67 – recent swing high
    • $107,115.80 – historical resistance zone
  • Immediate Support:

    • $105,172.78 – EMA(25)
    • $104,289.93 – horizontal support
    • $102,877.00 / $100,372.26 – deeper support levels if breakdown continues

3. Moving Averages (EMA)

  • EMA(7): $105,692.45 (just above current price – acting as dynamic resistance now)
  • EMA(25): $105,172.78 (near-term support)
  • EMA(99): $105,313.42 (mid-term trend baseline)
  • Order: EMA(7) > EMA(25) > EMA(99) → short-term uptrend structure remains

⚠️ Price falling below EMA(7) hints at weakening short-term bullish momentum.


4. Volume & Momentum

  • Volume: Gradually declining → suggests buying interest is drying up.
  • RSI(6): 51.69 → neutral zone; pointing downward = cooling trend.
  • MA(5) vs MA(10) on volume: Bearish crossover indicates softening demand.

Summary

Bitcoin is showing early signs of weakness near resistance and is now testing EMA support. If it holds above $105k, bulls still have a chance. But a drop below $105k may lead to a deeper pullback toward $104k–102k.

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