I think you are 90% right and this article is something that i have been waiting for long because i had already asked you this.
The 10% that i think you might be wrong is if this new STEEM 2.0 has better features, design and huge improvment over current steemit. Just the fact of on the spot signup and approval would be a huge change.
Nevetheless, i still think that community is what makes steemit great and for steem 2.0 to get to the current place of steemit (steem 1.0) would take a considerable amount of time.