I will admit i have not read the proposal by @dan. In fact, i have not been able to find it. What I did come across is a number of YouTube videos by people commenting about what @dan proposed.
Evidently, the proposal believes that 4% of EOS should be set aside to pay out to individuals as a basic (or Resource) income. This stems from the belief that automation is going to replace hundreds of millions of jobs over the next decade without an adequate way to replace them.
A large part of this is the conclusion that the third world nations are most at risk. Even though they made some tremendous gains over the last couple decades, a great deal of that was due to the outsourcing of labor from the more expensive countries. As labor rates rose in areas like China, suddenly third world nations became attractive.
With the technological age in full force, we could see a reversal of the trend. One technology I wrote about is 3D printing. With the ability to create products without labor directly from a 3D file, this will suddenly make manufacturing more economical, especially when shipping costs are factored in.
There is still some debate about this. Many feel that this is no different than the past and that technology always created more jobs than it destroyed. That was true. The challenge that many see is that we never dealt with a technology such as machine learning before. In the past, manual labor was replaced with machinery. This time, if all goes according to how many project, brain power is going to be replaced by machines. To me, this is an entirely different can of worms opened up.
Many believe that a basic income of some sort is the solution. Of course, this creates a million of questions even among the supporters. Nevertheless, providing people with the basic needs is something that a conscious populous should look at. This goes counter to the beliefs that many carry, especially in the west.
Will something like this work?
In theory, yes it could. The challenge is, like all blockchains are experiencing, how do you prove that a person is who he or she claims? And how do you prevent someone from creating multiple accounts to tap into more of the resource base. @actifit is already dealing with this, having to ban about 20 accounts for trying to game the system.
Sadly, it seems this is the place many people are at in their evolution. It is not surprising since we are all reared in the scarcity model that the bankers created. Hence, people are afraid of not having enough since, most do not.
The advantage that this proposal has is that it does not involve government. That is one of the features that I like about @mannacurrency. Any basic income initiative that involves the government is making people open to the change in political winds. What is given today can be taken away. Plus, my personal belief is the government has one goal, to create an unhealthy dependence with as many people as possible. This is what gives them more power.
Being a follower of technology for more than a decade, I can attest that the pace of change is increasing. There were projects that were originally slated to come out in 2023 or 2025 and are appearing now. For example, a couple years ago it was believed that 5G would start to be implemented in 2023 yet, in the US, there are going to be a number of cities who have it by the end of 2018.
The same was true with autonomous cars. I remember reading in 2013 or 2014 how there was hope to have a working prototype ready for full level 5 by 2025. They will hit this level in either 2019 or 2020.
The basic income topic became a political one which is a shame because it shuts down conversation, people espouse ideas that they know little about because they parrot what their political stance says, and ends up with a stalemate meaning the status quo goes forward.
That is okay. I can tell you, after watching what took place the last 5 years, a lot of these stances will be in for a rude awakening. When you see 40% of the banking industry in terms of employment gone by 2025, that will be an eye opener. At about the same time, we will see most retail jobs eliminated. Not only are you going to see stores like Amazon Go as the norm, there will probably be VR stores popping up at that point (watch the delivery breakthroughs, they solve that and this is most likely on the path to being commonplace).
I can do this for a ton of industries. Do you think people will be selling real estate in 10 years? Actually, do you think they will be using people to sell much of anything? What are the chances that accountants are still around? Hedge fund managers will be AI. The same will be true for a vast portion of the legal industry.
Without seeing anything written by him, I am going to guess that @dan sees something similar. I do know he focuses more on the third world nations and the plight of the people who are in the unlucky sperm club. Most of the planet is screwed when they pop out of the womb simply because of geography.
Will this EOS initiative go through? It is going to be a tough sell. There are already a number of problems to work through with governance that I am not sure this will be readily embraced. It is an interesting idea. I am glad people are starting to discuss this matter because it is going to be something that many will feel.
My personal view is that if you thought the last recession resulted in a jobless recovery, just wait until the next one. If you do not understand what I mean, read up on the West Texas oil industry after the collapse of oil prices in 2014. This is something that is going to be replicated throughout most industries.
Hopefully ideas like this one with EOS gain some attention. The fact that we have the opportunity to discuss it is very valuable. Society, at least, seems to be oblivious to all of this. At least some in the crypto world are beginning the discussion.
We will see where this all leads.
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Basic Income is one of those utopian concepts that most developed countries cannot understand and therefore do not back because they believe that it is a zero sum game which would eat into their own income. This is unfortunate as basic income could have a multiplier effect to improve the lives of all the population involved. EOS could have alternative motives as well as they have always looked for ways to ensure a broad distribution of their token (remember the year-long ICO) which could be done with this concept.
Dan has a big heart but UBI has been proven to fail every time. It creates dependence and changes the mindset of the people, not to mention it affects a population's epigenetics. You need to pay people to do something or you poison the collective mind. Even if we have all our needs taken care of, we have to expand, and we have to get to space. How many jobs will be created for that? I think we sometimes forget how much farther we have to go. We'll spend the money we make on other more enlightened things to make us feel satisfied. UBI is just socialism - it will hurt the value of Eos and only embolden a fork that refuses to inflate to people that don't provide value to the network.
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Dan is a true visionary. Whether it’s realistic is another thing though...
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About time EOS started doing stuff!
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I think EOS doesn't have enough market penetration (awareness) to pull this off. Maybe 10% of people have heard of Bitcoin and then 1% know what it is, beyond that probably less than 1% of people own it. For EOS I imagine those numbers are much lower, thus making it extremely difficult to implement something like basic income at a scale beyond those already in the cryptospace,
I have to admit that I didn't like it when I heard it and saw the videos. I ran across an interview with an individual had supposedly got the information directly from @Dan. Be that as it may. It's not something that is a threatening thing it's just doesn't fit the economic pattern of decentralization and personal responsibility. I am all in for Bishares and the clues lead me to believe that it won't make that much difference. I would love to go to hear Stan layout the facts of his plans later.
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I got into it on social media with a guy I knew who is a unionized bus driver. He got so upset with me about a year and a half ago when I posted something about automation of cars. He didn’t want to believe his job was in jeopardy. 🙄🙄🙄
Very good initiative and for the right reasons. I hope there is a way to prevent individuals to game the system because a basic income could remedy a lot of the power imbalance in the world. Upvoted and resteemed :-)
It has been a long time since I looked at it, but didn't the Steem/Steemit white paper also hint at something similar? Dan (and his dad) seem quite interested in exploring the idea of Basic Income.
I notice you mentioned @mannacurrency; seems to me they have a golden opportunity to create some synergy with Steemit... allow people to easily convert any Steem they wish to Manna. They already have an account here; a lot of smaller Steemians don't make enough to warrant withdrawals... but I could see how allowing people to just convert their 3, 5, 10 Steem to Manna could be a great lift to the Manna project.
But maybe I am missing something?
Bright Blessings!
I agree @tasmaster4450 that this is an opportunity to discuss something of critical importance not to be missed.
I in fact visualize a scheme making every individual the decentralized owner of a constant stream of basic purchasing power sufficient to survive on and sufficient to prosper on by being productive and trading real goods and services in a decentralized market.
That is the long and the short of it, but all of the factors and elements involved in setting up something like this will take up too much space to set out in a comment like this.
I think EOS is by design ideal to serve as platform for running a system like this. Most likely STEEM will do as well, once the smart contract functions are tried and tested as planned.
I would love to discuss the possibilities with you and whoever may be interested in moving this or any similar concept forward.
I haven't been a fan of universal basic income since I first heard of it, and it could be I need to know more about it to get there, but while it's not the government per se, it's still a something because you exist scenario. It seems to me that in whatever form that's tried, especially anything that might end up being significant and substantial, the desire to do anything to earn one's keep will dwindle.
People will still need something to do. And history nods to horrific atrocities happening before some other solution might rear its head. I think I would rather find ways for people to transition to another field of endeavor. We won't be doing ourselves any favors if we AI every industry. And humans aren't going to trust or react to AI in the same way as they do people. Our Sci-FI and Dystopian entertainment have been warning us of that for years. I dislike navigating through menus on a phone just to get to a person to talk to—what's it going to be like when there's no person?
I know. I'm old. Not that old, though. :)
Uf. This is a really tough one. Lets assume you have a country sitting on natural minerals or metals that can be mined at 0 cost in workpower and resource. Powered by free energy, final product created by automation. That resource is scarce, unlimited but essential....
The question is, who reaps rewards? In a capitalistic system the owner of the automation system. But what if you could build that system only once and automate its value creation to infinity.
If you can do that i do not see why UBI would not be possible.
I think blockchain will be the first step. Second step is AI.
All you need is automated value creation with minimum cost and a consensus of idea implementation.
I think it can be done.
Why not just have a decentralized autonomous corporation and distribute the profits to the shareholders? UBI is pointless when everyone can participate in a DAC ecosystem - they'll get paid for just being smart consumers. UBI would just destroy value, therefore destroying the DAC, and therefore destroying the money of the investors. You can't get something for nothing.