Interesting analysis. I dont think EOS will overtake Ethereum, partly because so many talented developers are working already on Ethereum projects, and thus have a vested interest in the platform.

Realistically, it will take at least a couple of years before EOS really starts attracting a lot of devs, as it needs to prove itself in this time as a viable competitor. In the meantime, Ethereum's core devs and researchers will be hard at work implementing their own scaling solutions - Plasma, sharding, Casper, sidechains etc.

I think EOS will probably stick around, and maybe in time offer an alternative to Ethereum, as it has a massive war chest to bootstrap with. However, to see it as an 'Ethereum killer' is mistaken.

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