I did a similar analysis but im not confident in TA in low volume financial products like steem/hive. Why im a big bull is this part of your article.
''Hive is even doing slightly better in marketcap terms (and much better if you include all the value that is held in Splinterlands, Leo, dCity, etc...).''
soon or later this should affect the price.
Agree with you on that. I also don't fully believe in TA, but sometimes it's helpful to put things in context, especially when price is not moving.