Federal Election 2019 ~ Place Your Bet While The Odds Are Still Good

I votes according to me conscience, and them that tips the most!
Punch circa 1800

Now that the NSW election has tested the water for the main political parties its time for an Australian Federal election. In the left corner is Bill Shorten, Labor Party (socialist) and in the right corner is Scott Morrison, Liberal / National Country Party Coalition (soft conservative) aka the Coalition.

The population ia about equally divided between left and right politics and a poor performance by either party leader could mean the election is lost to the prudent leader. Some leaders have lost an unlosable election. The polls currently show Scott Morrison more popular than Bill Shorten in every poll so far.

As a heads up, Australia has a preferential voting system that allows voters to select candidates by numbering from 1 to 10 or whatever. If you miss out first time your second candidate is chosen and so on. You get more than a fair shake of the sauce bottle. This means that the major parties have to align themselves with the minor parties in order to get the second chance votes.

The political advertising begins about now, except for Clive Palmer, United Australia Party (conservative), who has been advertising on TV since before Christmas and must have spent millions. The minor parties dreams are to have the balance of power.

Apart from the dyed in the wool socialists and conservatives most voters echo the sentiment under the above picture, that is, 'what's in it for me'? As can be expected you will get  imaginative accounting and some 'take from Peter to pay Paul' to achieve the manifesto.

There was an unscientific poll of the general public and these were the issues on the minds of the respondents. The concerns seem to reflect the latest TV 'news' programmes rather than considered views.

• Climate Change, Clean Energy, Plastic Waste, Water Management, Feral Animals.
• Infrastructure, Transport, Road Black Spots, Travel Expenses, Bike Lanes.
• Housing, Over Development, Asset Purchase By Foreign Buyers.
• Immigration, either not enough or too much.

The Coalition have had the advantage of being able to present the annual budget as a preemptive first strike and the Labor Party is complaining the Coalition is stealing its policy. Its too early to get a good view of the election manifestos yet, and either side can win.

Bill Shorten has already dropped the first faux pas with his electric car policy which is being ripped apart by the 'Radio Jocks'.

The Nations bookmakers seem to be able to predict the election results quite well and so it may be useful to look at the odds offered.

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